Burch: Dinosaur Demographics

Thursday, November 8, 2012 at 10:05pm
By Michael R. Burch

Barack Obama’s victory over Mitt Romney may have saved the American middle class, depending on what Romney may or may not have done after assuming the presidency. Now we’ll never know. But Romney was gracious and conciliatory in defeat and hereafter the focus falls squarely on President Obama and the obstructionist GOP — a rudderless, captain-less ship rushing headlong toward destruction by an immense iceberg called Demographics.

The GOP’s main appeal is to aging white Christian alpha males — the kind who go to church, read the Bible, sing a few hymns, then try to chauvinistically dictate how other people should live their lives. Thus the GOP has lost all appeal for the majority of women, gays, minorities and increasingly liberal-minded young people. The GOP’s problem is obvious: the American public is becoming more diverse and tolerant, so racism, sexism and homophobia increasingly alienate voters, driving them to Democratic candidates, even in tough economic times.

Because the economy has been in the doldrums for Obama’s first term, this should have been an election in which the GOP won back the presidency and picked up seats in Congress. But an interesting thing happened on the way to the quorum: women, gays, minorities and young people didn’t vote for economic saviors. By resounding margins they preferred life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness. Some of them stood in line until the wee hours of the morning to make their voices heard. And they voted for equality and progress, even if it means paying higher taxes to help the less advantaged. In the end, there weren’t enough white men voting their wallets and narrow-minded parochialism for Republicans to win. And there will be fewer and fewer white patriarchs voting in each new election.

Voters in Maine, Maryland and Washington said “yes” to gay marriage. Minnesota voters rejected an attempt to ban gay marriage. Wisconsin voters elected the nation’s first openly gay senator. Voters in Colorado and Washington approved the recreational use of marijuana. So the handwriting is clearly on the wall for backward-looking Republicans: “You have been measured and found wanting ... .”

Tea Party types who were fired by voters included Joe Walsh, Richard Mourdock, Todd Akin and Allen West. Even Michelle Bachmann was in danger of losing to a Democrat in a heavily Republican district, despite outspending him by a factor of 12 to 1. Is there any doubt that lunatic-fringe “crackpottery” was a major cause of voter displeasure?

Romney was obviously not the main problem. The blowout would have been even worse if the Republican presidential candidate had been an arch-conservative like Santorum, Bachmann, Cain, Perry or Palin.

How can we be sure? Well, the GOP had 17 viable Senate candidates, most of whom ran far to the right of Romney. In 12 of the 17 states in question, Romney outperformed the more conservative Senate candidates, often by wide margins. The five candidates who bested Romney in their respective states all ran as moderates. So voters rejected conservatism and the presidential race was only as close as it was because Romney ditched being “severely conservative” by morphing into Peace Butterfly Mitt in a carefully calculated and orchestrated Etch-a-Sketch campaign. But he lost credibility in the process, a victim of his party’s medieval worldview that required him to play a warlike hayseed in the early going.

The handwriting may also be on the wall for the pro-Israel war hawks and neocons. (Ironically, the majority of Jewish voters also rejected conservatism.) Sheldon Adelson was 0-7 on the night as all the candidates he funded — George Allen, Shmuley Boteach, Adam Hasner, Connie Mack, West, Romney and Pat Ryan — were defeated. Since the hawks tend to be wildly regressive on social issues, their plans to ally Israel and the U.S. in new Holy Wars may be going down the tubes, thanks to Demographics.

Demographics also suggest that the GOP will have trouble winning elections as long as nearly every plank in its platform remains a creaking anachronism: anti-equality, anti-choice, anti-progress, anti-peace. If the economy continues to improve, and the Democrats are seen as being better on both economics and social issues, Republicans may go the way of the dinosaurs, plodding inexorably toward extinction. If they want to survive, they need to admit that it’s now the 21st century and start to evolve.

Michael R. Burch is a Nashville-based editor and publisher of Holocaust poetry and other “things literary” at www.thehypertexts.com.

Filed under: City Voices
Tagged: Michael Burch

206 Comments on this post:

By: Ask01 on 11/9/12 at 5:07

I believe Mike has nailed the situation precisely.

Additionally, not only are many of the 'dinosaurs' dying off, and the younger generation becoming more tolerant of all the issues infuriating their elders, many of the older, but more flexible and intellectually advanced are recognizing the fallacies inherent in many of the principles espoused by the would be aristocrat leadership.

The party is indeed becoming an anachronism nationally, although they do hold sway in some more backward southern states, for the moment at least.

Eventually, the pendulum will swing back, even in places where, socially and culturally, time has stood still.

This will be a rare event when the time arrives, but those there will be able to witness the minimalization, if not outright demise, of a once powerful national party.

By: Rasputin72 on 11/9/12 at 5:46

Mike Burch......You are not entirely correct,but only because your communist bias peeped through. You are correct enough for me to say that this was your best effort of the last six or seven weeks.
.
This victory was not about aging old christian males. It was about class warfare. It just so happens that old white males just happen to have all the money that the Obama people want.

Nevertheless,there is a changing of the guard and you probaly are not going to like the reality of it any more than you like what you changed.

By: Captain Nemo on 11/9/12 at 6:02

(RAY)

By: Captain Nemo on 11/9/12 at 6:38

The GOP’s whole campaign was aimed for the Old White Male and others they consider of no importance. Now that it is over they are blamed this defeat on everything and everybody but themselves. Romney was not conservative enough or it was Sandy’s fault and took away the momentum. Then there is Christ Christy standing with Obama at the storms after math. The list of who is responsibility is long, but no where do they say it was The GOP’s lack of understanding who the people of America are, is the cause of these defeat.

The Common Pigeon aka Rasputin, is a prime example of where the GOP stands in understanding of the real Americans. Even though he is not of the upper class, he does ring of the GOP’s distaste for everything but their monstrosity behavior. However his self-image will never see his type has the down fall of the Grand Old Party.

Then we have the far right Tea Party’s example in yogiman. They will never accept someone other than a pure white as President, yet they don’t have the nerve to say what they believe. Liars and cowards have used the Tea Party banner as their shield for hate of none whites.

The Evangelicals, they ruled the GOP where the big losers in this race, they lost everything they use to control in the 80’s and 90’s. We have budlight to their represent tunnel vision. Always sticking their nose into others peoples lives and telling them that they should do has they believe. Never helping or setting example for others.

By: Captain Nemo on 11/9/12 at 6:42

Here is how they voted and the GOP’s platform had none of this people on their agenda.

How did they vote?

Race. President Obama lost the white vote in 2012 by a wider margin than he did in 2008—20 percentage points (59 percent to 39 percent), compared to 12 percentage points (55 percent to 43 percent), respectively. Overall, President Obama received 80 percent support from people of color in 2012, just as he did in 2008. His support among African Americans was almost as overwhelming this year (93 percent to 6 percent) as it was in 2008 (95 percent to 4 percent). And his support among Hispanics (71 percent to 27 percent) improved substantially from its 2008 level (67 percent to 31 percent).

Age. Young people ages 18 to 29 years old supported Democrats by a 23-point margin in the 2012 election, 60 percent to 37 percent. This is strong support, by far President Obama’s best performance among any age group, just as was the case in 2008, when the president performed even more strongly among these voters (66 percent to 32 percent).

Gender. President Obama carried women by 55 percent to 44 percent, while losing men by 52 percent to 45 percent. This is a larger gender gap than in 2008, when President Obama carried women by only slightly more (56 percent to 43 percent) while doing quite a bit better among men (actually carrying them, 49 percent to 48 percent).

Ideology. President Obama received less support in 2012 from all ideology groups, though the drop-offs were not particularly sharp in any group. He received 86 percent support from liberals (89 percent in 2008), 56 percent from moderates (60 percent in 2008), and 17 percent from conservatives (20 percent in 2008).

http://www.enewspf.com/opinion/analysis/38171-the-return-of-the-obama-coalition-a-demographic-analysis-of-election-2012-results.html

By: bfra on 11/9/12 at 6:47

Nemo - Well you have aptly defined 3 trolls. IMO Romney lost because he & his family couldn't get their noses out of the air long enough to connect with the majority of voters. Between "you people" & the 47% helped beat him as much as anything. To add: yogi is the biggest liar that has ever posted on this board. He even tops Raspy & bud.

By: Captain Nemo on 11/9/12 at 6:52

Don’t blame Romney for the lost. He was never the ideal candidate for the office, but he was all that was left after the entire fringe candidates ripped apart their selves. He was considered to be the most likely to beat President Obama and he did live up to that expectation. However the Republican Party has move so far to the right, that Ronald Ragan could not be elected 2012.

By: Captain Nemo on 11/9/12 at 6:55

I did not mention p3, because he his too insignificant.

By: Captain Nemo on 11/9/12 at 7:01

Good morning bfra, I look forward to see just what kind of whimpers the trolls have to say about Mike Burch’s great description of the Republican Dinosaur.

Old Raspy has lead with he usual duplicate moan.

By: yogiman on 11/9/12 at 7:01

You seem to be excellent at accusing, bfra, but you aren't worth a damn at proving. You calling me a liar would equal me calling you a whore. I don't know if you are. Wouldn't you want me to prove it?

All you seem to be capable of is calling me a liar but You've never made a comment about the lie I told.

By: bfra on 11/9/12 at 7:03

p3 could belong to yogi's liar's club. He picks a few words to cut & paste from an article that changes the entire meaning. Blanket usually cuts him down by presenting the entire article & shows his deceitfulness.

By: bfra on 11/9/12 at 7:04

That's easy yogi, you have never posted a TRUTH!

By: bfra on 11/9/12 at 7:06

Back to sane posters: Mike Burch pretty much calls it like it is.

By: yogiman on 11/9/12 at 7:12

Don't blame me as a racist, dumba$$. I didn't vote for him because I know he isn't legally eligible to hold that office. The only reason you can have to have voted for Barry Soetoro aka Barack Obama is his race because you have no idea who he is. And unless you're a fellow communist with him, good luck. I suggest you look into a number of EOs he's put began putting out on his illegal first term.

Did you enjoy having the legal requirement to present a photo ID to vote but your man Barry didn't even have to prove he was eligible to run for the office?

By: Captain Nemo on 11/9/12 at 7:33

By: yogiman on 11/9/12 at 7:12
Don't blame me as a racist, dumba$$.

I would never blame you for being what you are yogi. Now if you would like to discuss this face to face, I’m willing. However you will have to come see me, I want waste my time or money driving to Gordonsville.

By: Blanketnazi2 on 11/9/12 at 7:34

You know, if Romney were the moderate that he portrayed himself to be in the primaries, he probably would have won the election. The error of the GOP strategy was catering to the fringe instead of going toward the center and capturing more of the independent voters.

By: Captain Nemo on 11/9/12 at 7:43

Good morning Blanket. Spot on.

By: Blanketnazi2 on 11/9/12 at 7:44

Good morning, Nemo. We need to do lunch soon.

By: Captain Nemo on 11/9/12 at 7:54

I free Saturday. email me if this is good for you.

By: Blanketnazi2 on 11/9/12 at 8:03

Just did. :)

By: Captain Nemo on 11/9/12 at 8:08

Back at ya.

By: dargent7 on 11/9/12 at 8:33

Buenos tardes from San Jose', CA.
Romney started to bury himself last June.
"I'd let GM fail".Then the 3 off=shore bank accounts.
Elevators in his La Jolla, CA beach house.
Then the open mike, "47% I'll never win".
It became apparent he was a Corp. raider/ vulture Capitalist at Bain.
Then the blatant lies about Jeep even when the CEO's said it was bull****.
The GOP white male losers who cannot articulate accurately what a rape is.
America has gradually evolved over the past 50 years to include women, blacks, Latinos, Asians, much to the chagrin of the white populace.
Electing Obama twice is proof enough just the fact you're white isn't what it used to be.

By: BenDover on 11/9/12 at 8:43

There's no other way around it... the champions of divisiveness won the election by a small margin. Driving wedges and exaggerating differences based on gender, sexual preference, union affiliation, public/private sector, age, race and class spooked enough people into supporting Obama and the 24/7 weather channel commercials of Bill Clinton, of all people, touting the idea of Obama as President Thrifty for 4 more years just was the icing on the cake.

Thankfully Tennessee didn't take the bait on all of it and came in with a Romney +20 win... increased its standing of conservatives in the legislature and held firm on our Senate and congressional delegation.

Mr. Burch is trying to ride high on national coattails when it would seem Tennesseans saw right through his weekly divisive rhetoric and made choices more consistent with the country's social, cultural, moral and religious traditions.

Good for Tennessee.

I guess the question at the national level is how will they rationalize the continuing failures of a flawed policy that has kept the economy only treading water on the backs of massive debts to our grandchildren on money they have yet to earn. There is no doubt we've reached a point of diminishing returns on our Keynsian spending binge and no number of broken windows can undo the damage of spooked employers and would-be investors in US treasuries. How much gain is left in Bernanke's piggy bank from when he bought all those equities at the bottom of the market in '08 with freshly printed green-backs? Will he, too, soon reach the point where propping up this malfeasance results in devaluing the dollar and real inflation on more than just energy and food?

These are the questions of serious men... not whether Washington sanctions homosexuality... or whether grad student Sandra Fluke gets free birth control... or whether covetousness allows greater government expansion at the expense of the other guy ... or whether we persist with historic levels of pigmentation in our president's complexion. Serious men are interested in the big picture and uniting in synergy to advance society... not small frames of divisiveness having us at each other while the political class cheers us on like bum-fights.

Are we a society of king of the hill where we drag each other back down into a mote of mud... or are we a society that understands but puts aside differences to build a world class country where our children and grandchildren and their children can thrive? And that begs the sober question of serious men again, what does that society look like? A glance at history tells us exactly ... it looks like America... when the adults are in charge.

By: Captain Nemo on 11/9/12 at 8:48

By: BenDover on 11/9/12 at 8:43
There's no other way around it... the champions of divisiveness won the election by a small margin. Driving wedges and exaggerating differences based on gender, sexual preference, union affiliation, public/private sector, age, race and class spooked enough people into supporting Obama and the 24/7 weather channel commercials of Bill Clinton, of all people, touting the idea of Obama as President Thrifty for 4 more years just was the icing on the cake.

Oh Ben. What you are saying is the GOP got beat at their on game.

By: bfra on 11/9/12 at 8:49

Ben I wouldn't be bragging about being from a backwoods ninny State! I am a Tennessean, and ashamed of how my State voted.

By: bfra on 11/9/12 at 8:50

Ben - And it wasn't by a "small" margin.

By: Blanketnazi2 on 11/9/12 at 8:50

Ben is still in denial along with his cohorts.

By: bfra on 11/9/12 at 8:57

Ben must be jealous of Clinton's IQ.

By: Captain Nemo on 11/9/12 at 9:01

The GOP divisive ploy has been Guns Gays God (is a Republican) Abortion, Libs are soft on crime and many others.

Keep on Ben. You will just make it harder for the country to come together. After all you got yogi and the likes that make your argument look weak.

By: Captain Nemo on 11/9/12 at 9:02

Denial; that is a river in Africa. Right?

By: bfra on 11/9/12 at 9:05

Not to yogi, he denys the TRUTH 24/7! He probably doesn't even know where Africa is.

By: Mike Burch on 11/9/12 at 9:06

Nemo,

You said:

However the Republican Party has move so far to the right, that Ronald Reagan could not be elected 2012.

This is an important point. Right now the GOP can't win national elections because the candidate has to win over the lunatic fringe. This gives someone like Santorum the advantage, but he could never win the national election. What Romney did was pretend to be as conservative as Santorum in the early going, only to morph into Peace Butterfly Mitt in the last debate. Ironically, Romney's etch-a-sketch campaign was the ONLY way for him to have a shot at the presidency. It almost worked, but it seems doubtful that the lies will work any better in the next election, particularly when the candidate is not Barack Obama. If a good percentage of voters voted against Obama because of WHO he is, which seems likely, that suggest the next election will be a landslide.

By: BenDover on 11/9/12 at 9:08

Although 95% of the contributors to this little forum disagree with me; about 50% of the population of the US agrees so it would seem this forum is the statistical outlier.

By: Mike Burch on 11/9/12 at 9:09

Nemo, you said:

Oh Ben. What you are saying is the GOP got beat at their on game.

Another spot-on observation. The hope of the nation is that moderate-to-liberal Democrats and moderate-to-conservative Republicans will find ways to compromise. The smart Republicans should be able to read the handwriting on the wall, seeing the demise of the Tea Party with its loss of a number of seats and even Michelle Bachmann almost losing. If just a few Republicans decide that future elections will favor more moderate, non-obstructionist leaders, we could see a shift toward the center.

By: Mike Burch on 11/9/12 at 9:12

It is embarrassing to see so many Tennesseans voting for Bishop Romney, who said that 47% of Americans, or 150 million people, are not really entitled to food, housing and healthcare.

The hayseeds didn't understand that Romney really was talking about THEM, and that he planned to send them and their families to the glue factory when they could no longer work..

Now they want to congratulate themselves on being the "smart ones." The world is full of remarkable ironies. They were saved from destruction by the man they hate the most: Barack Obama.

By: pswindle on 11/9/12 at 9:15

A friend summed up the elections by guoting her son. He said, " I was so relieved." I'm afraid that TN is headed to be just like Alabama and Mississippi. They are so out of touch with the rest of the country.Their view on so many issues are scary especially toward women.TN will never heal until we separate state and church. How many churches in TN told their people how to vote?

By: BenDover on 11/9/12 at 9:16

Burch... do you honestly believe that one free healthy man is obligated to pay for the food, housing and healthcare for another free healthy man?

By: Captain Nemo on 11/9/12 at 9:24

Ben is that what they teach you in the Catholic faith? Ben that is just sad.

By: Captain Nemo on 11/9/12 at 9:28

Mike I have telling this to some people I know that has standing in the Democratic Party. They should start courting the moderate in the GOP. Not so much as to convert the over, but to work with the on bring the State out of the grasp of the extremist.

By: Blanketnazi2 on 11/9/12 at 9:28

Ben should ask the circular rock formation that question.

By: BenDover on 11/9/12 at 9:37

No... the Catholics teach that a man should choose to do acts of mercy and that he may choose not to. It does not teach that he is obligated and compelled by a state authority at the muzzle of a gun to do so.

By: Blanketnazi2 on 11/9/12 at 9:46

So much for the brother's keep idea, huh?

By: Blanketnazi2 on 11/9/12 at 9:46

Sounds like you're Catholic when it's convenient.

By: BenDover on 11/9/12 at 9:48

It's not charity if it compulsory Blanket... and it's certainly not charity if you have to steal your acts of generosity from someone else.

By: yogiman on 11/9/12 at 9:49

BenDover,

I could understand 'Obama' winning the election if he was in the race legally. The only way I can see anyone voting for him with him refusing to identify himself is unadulterated ignorance. And we apparently have a lot on this site and in the USA. It seems the percent of this site's voters apparently equals the national percent.

And from all of the news I saw showing a close call during the race, it's hard to believe he didn't steal the election with that short number.

Isn't it amazing he was trailing in the race until the end neared, then: WHAM!, hot damn!, he finally took the lead and won.

By: Rasputin72 on 11/9/12 at 9:50

Mike Burch.......I will forever be grateful to Mitt Romney for calling attention to the fact that 47% of Americans would be doing the country a favor by disappearing from this earth. On second thought, my humanitarian instincts (however small) suggests that instead of disappearing perhaps SEEN and not HEARD would be more appropriate.

By: bfra on 11/9/12 at 9:51

OMG! ! ! ! ! ! !

By: BenDover on 11/9/12 at 9:54

There's a party that encourages taking things from others who have more and then lies about an idea of 'fairness' in the whole ruse to try to make the act a new social norm.

In the old days they called it Stealing, Covetousness and False Witness... all of which are on the Top Ten list right up there with Murder, Adultery and Idol Worshiping.

By: yogiman on 11/9/12 at 9:58

Africa is on the Kenyan continent, bfra, and we go West to get West to get there.

By: yogiman on 11/9/12 at 10:01

Well, bfra, I'm a native born Tennessean, too. And since I'm older than you, I'm more entitled to the way they vote than you.